Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.165875 1.314434 1.476612 1.667117 1.885162 2.127394 2.417514
2026-01-11 0.964754 1.166819 1.405114 1.708154 2.085099 2.540881 3.137273
2026-01-18 0.820236 1.049821 1.338077 1.729423 2.251234 2.929131 3.886394
2026-01-25 0.699482 0.937957 1.253310 1.705538 2.345086 3.228687 4.561924
2026-02-01 0.592699 0.826177 1.148602 1.632855 2.352954 3.402046 5.079221
2026-02-08 0.515984 0.744109 1.071402 1.583582 2.380253 3.597933 5.650297
2026-02-15 0.458162 0.681135 1.012203 1.549925 2.421379 3.813474 6.277971
2026-02-22 0.429567 0.657735 1.008014 1.598058 2.593848 4.255973 7.347380
2026-03-01 0.397933 0.625583 0.985696 1.612623 2.710402 4.618057 8.331953
2026-03-08 0.360688 0.580270 0.936875 1.576020 2.732475 4.815822 9.042420
2026-03-15 0.328059 0.539139 0.890381 1.537192 2.743964 4.992992 9.737752
2026-03-22 0.317372 0.533748 0.903450 1.604687 2.957837 5.576078 11.345940
2026-03-29 0.301450 0.518892 0.900473 1.646327 3.136020 6.131984 13.040055
2026-04-05 0.285813 0.503115 0.894422 1.681959 3.308797 6.707404 14.904331
2026-04-12 0.269363 0.484215 0.880611 1.700726 3.450004 7.239873 16.786002
2026-04-19 0.249293 0.456592 0.847435 1.676355 3.496282 7.571757 18.253512
2026-04-26 0.225954 0.420574 0.794453 1.604658 3.428958 7.634518 19.051424
2026-05-03 0.207567 0.392560 0.754606 1.556161 3.407089 7.800275 20.158055
2026-05-10 0.192580 0.369967 0.723534 1.523078 3.416199 8.042248 21.528377
2026-05-17 0.186676 0.365134 0.728404 1.570257 3.622424 8.810582 24.584990
2026-05-24 0.178178 0.354192 0.719345 1.584528 3.750129 9.398040 27.248994
2026-05-31 0.166100 0.334731 0.690240 1.548622 3.746394 9.633550 28.875622
2026-06-07 0.154875 0.316194 0.661535 1.510536 3.732003 9.837962 30.455239